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Author Topic: Građanski rat u Ukrajini  (Read 358495 times)
 
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dzumba
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« Reply #630 on: August 04, 2014, 09:59:49 pm »

To oko vazduhoplovtsva je pomenuo Kumbor.

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Mislim da su vladine snage propustile priliku da rese stvar vojnim sretstvima, od sada pa na dalje stanje vladinih snaga, kako vojno, tako i politicko, bice sve gore i gore.

Vlada (ukrajniska) uvek imaju mogućnost da stvar reše vojnim sredstvima. Sve dok su vlast. Oni  su neprekidno (politički i vojno), od početka krize u lošem stanju. Ipak, imaju na raspologanju vrlo veliki "ljudski rezervoar" u vidu vojnih obveznika i rezervista. I imaju dosta tehnike (koju polako osposobljavaju). Ono što je loše jeste moral stanovništva, odnosno odnos "javnog mnjenja" prema ATO. Čak i oni koji su protiv Rusa ne žele da ratuju jer ne shvataju zašto i zbog koga.

Upravo je u toku, kako kažu, treći talas delimične mobilizacije koji će obuhvatiti 100000 ljudi. Ovde je ključno pitanje motivacije i osposbljenosti rezervista, a potom i jedinica (formiranih od njih) da dejstvuju. To nije moguće (priprema mobilisanih jedinica) bez 1,5 meseca obuke, minimum.

Vrlo je važna priprema stanovništva, odnosno javnog mnjenja. A da bi to bilo moguće potrebno je (po mom sudu sledeće):

- posle predstojećih izbora iz vlade izbaciti ekstremiste;
-  uvesti "vojni" porez tajkunima, a ne građanima;
- tajkunske i sinove političara poslati u vojsku, u prve borbene redove (kao što su sinovi ministra odbrane pozvani u vojsku); naj bolje tako što će to sami uraditi,a ne pod prisilomm kko bi se podiago moral stanovnicima;
- pokrenuti iskrene političke razgovore sa pobunjenicima, uvažavajući interese ruskog i ruskogovorućeg dela stnovništva;
- za slučaj da pregovori propadnu pripremiti (temeljno) preciznu i realno izvodljivu operaciju za koju svi potčinjeni komandanti i komandir moraju razumeti i slediti "ideju manevra" (da shavte šta se želi i kako se to želi ostvariti ); dotle bi mogli da uvežbaju vojsku za tako pripremljenu operaciju;

Koliko je ovo ostvarljivo, posebno ovaj "civilni" deo, drugo je pitanje. Verovatno malo verovatno.
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dzumba
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« Reply #631 on: August 04, 2014, 10:10:57 pm »

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Погинуло је сигурно 4-5.000 војника са њихове стране, што је више од два пута мање од онога што тврди Народна војска.

Cenim da je to previše. Nije poginulo više od 1500 pripadnika vojske i Nacionalne grade. Ranjenih i obolelih je oko 3-3500. Zarobljeno je ili je prešlo u Rusiju oko 600 vojnika (za sada). I to su velike cifre. Najviše stradalih je u zasedama i od dejstva artiljerije.

Gubici pobunjenika su nešto manji (oni se ipak brane i u lakšoj su poziciji). Civila je stradalo (za sada upola) manje nego vojnika.

Ovakve podatke procenjujem na osnovu činjenice da se više "gruva" na slepo  nego što se dejstvuje organizovano i precizno.
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trpe grozni
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« Reply #632 on: August 04, 2014, 10:15:21 pm »

Dzumba, ko ce uvesti danak tajkunima, kada oni u stvari vladaju Ukrainom, tacnije svako u svom brlogu.
Sto se remontiranja tice, pitanje je jel uspevaju da nadoknade ono sto potrose i "potrose" u ratnim operacijama.

Svaki rat ima tacku preokreta, neki jednu, a neki vise. Ovo je bila tacka preokreta za ukrainsku vladu, i pitanje je dal ce ista dobiti moguvnost za jos jednu. Ima haos u komandovanju, postoje privatne armije, postoje partiske armije, postoji jedna drzavna armija zaboravljena od svih i postoji milicija koja ne zna sta da radi i svaki drugi dan je raspustaju.
Ukoliko ukrainska vlada zeli da dobije ponovnu tacku preokreta (da preokrene stvar u svoju korist), morace prvo da sredi sve ove "sitnice", pa tek onda da krene u reorganizaciju i posle toga u napad (mislim na vojni, mada se isto to odnosi i na politicki).

Ovako sa haosom koji sada vlada tamo, mogucim gerislkim pokretom u pozadini (pored remontnog zavoda Morozov, bilo je eksplozija i u nekoliko regrutnih centra), i nesposobnim clanovima vlade iz koje svako cuva svoju zadnjicu i za ostalo se ne brine, tesko da ce dobiti drugu tacku preokreta u daljoj vojnoj konfrontaciji.
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Adler
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« Reply #633 on: August 04, 2014, 10:22:16 pm »

Sto se remontiranja tice, pitanje je jel uspevaju da nadoknade ono sto potrose i "potrose" u ratnim operacijama.

Ne znam za ostalo ali bar aviona imaju, samo je pitanje tempa. Bez minimalno mesec i po po avionu, ne verujem da mogu brže da urade neki ubrzani (ograničeni) remont.
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dzumba
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« Reply #634 on: August 04, 2014, 10:28:51 pm »

Pa zato sam to i napisao.

Pre par dana sam, pokušavajući da analiziram vojni aspekt deošavanja, napisao da je u toku "traka" ukrajinske vojske da raseče pobunjeničku teritoriju i deblokira svoje snage, a sa druge strane pobunjenika da "zadave" okružene ukrajinske snage na ruskoj granici. I pobunjici su "stigli" prvi. Ipak, to je taktički poraz, odnosno pobeda. Ne bih rekao da je to strategijska prekretnica. Možda, ako se to bude sagledavalo u nekoj budućnosti a stvar se nepovoljno završi po Ukrajinu.
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« Reply #635 on: August 05, 2014, 08:25:55 am »

http://www.pravda.rs/2014/08/03/ekskluzivno-u-ukrajini-ranjen-americki-general-rendi-ki-alan/

EKSKLUZIVNO: U Ukrajini ranjen američki general Rendi Ki Alan

UKRAJINA – Portal Pravda je već pisao o tome da ratnim operacijama u Ukrajini rukovodi general-major Rendi Ki Alan (Kee Randy Alan) koji je u tu svrhu poslat iz Pentagona, a najnovija informacija je da je ovaj američki visoki oficir ranjen u regionu Slavjanska.

U okolini Slavjanska je pogođeno vozilo u kojima je bilo nekoliko američkih oficira, a među njima je bio i ovaj general koji je ranjen. Ovo vozilo je pogođeno od strane obaveštajno-diverzantske grupe proruskih snaga, a inače u toj oblasti nema većih proruskih snaga.

Nedavno su iz Amerike u Ukrajinu stigli vojni eksperti sa ciljem da pomognu ukrajinskoj armiji i vladi u borbi protiv terorizma, a to se desilo posle sastanka ukrajinskog državnog vrha sa američkim ambasadorom u Kijevu, Džefri Pajetom.

Rendi Ki je visoki zvaničnik američke vojske. Načelnik za politiku, strateško upravljanje i saradnju na kontinentu Evrope pri armiji SAD-a. On je iz Pentagona poslat u Kijev da rukovodi vojnim operacijama ukrajinske armije.

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kumbor
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« Reply #636 on: August 05, 2014, 08:38:17 am »


Врло занимљива вест. Не очекујем да је чујем на CNN. Чекаћу потврду на русвесни, востоку, icorpusu, итд.
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jadran2
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« Reply #637 on: August 05, 2014, 08:55:44 am »


tko bi ga znao sto je istina; zanimljivo bi bilo saznati, ako se dogodilo, u kojem vozilu su se nalazili.
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vathra
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« Reply #638 on: August 05, 2014, 10:01:05 am »

Поменути генерал је из ваздухопловства, тешко да би га послали да командује јединицама на земљи.
http://www.af.mil/AboutUs/Biographies/Display/tabid/225/Article/108465/major-general-randy-a-kee.aspx
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pvanja
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« Reply #639 on: August 05, 2014, 10:43:05 am »

Ово је гоогле превод а тренутно немам времена да га коригујем и исправим.
Оригинални текст можете наћи на
http://www.eucom.mil/organization/command-structure/j5-8-policy-strategy-partnering-and-capabilities

Ј5 / 8 - Политика, стратегија, партнерство и могућности


Ј5 / 8 развија основну војну / политичку политику и планирање за командних активности које укључују односе са другим борбених команди америчких, Аллиед и међународне војне организације и потчињених команди. Као резултат напред-оперативни војних представника у америчке амбасаде, дирекција има јединствену перспективу која побољшава партнера и мил-на-мил допирања и обуку. Овај уклапа са својом стратегијом, плановима и развоју политике које подржавају глобални мир и безбедност у региону.

Сваке две године, дирекција гради "Стратегију за активне безбедности" (САС), која служи као ангажман активности командом је мапа пута ЕУЦОМ-а у наредним годинама.СРС омогућава Ј5 / 8 је разноврстан тим да развију планове одређене државе, политике и приоритете који ће водити позоришну-широк домет. У Ј5 / 8 блиско сарађује са другим дирекцијама, међуагенцијске партнерима и савезницима и користи различите инпуте за стално рефине планове, обезбеђујући они остају усклађени са стратешким смерницама и реалности окружење стално мења. Било да је оцењивање тренутне способности, у потрази за наредних технолошких продора, или анализирајући шта ЕУЦОМ треба да изгледа у наредних 10 година, Ј5 / 8 увек има своје очи на будућност.

Управа је у потпуности посвећена безбедном, стабилном Европи кроз програме као што су:

Партнерство за мир
Програм државног партнерства САД бироа националне гарде у
Међународна војна Образовање и Тренинг програм

Страна војна продаја
Страно војно финансирање
НАТО и коалициска подршка


контакт
Директор: УС Аир Форце мајор Ренди О Ки
Адреса: ХК УСЕУЦОМ/ЕЦЈ5/Ј8, Јединица 30400, АПО АЕ 09131
Цомм:. +49 (0) 711-680-5005
ДСН: 314-430-5005
Факс: +49 (0) 711-680-7451
« Last Edit: August 05, 2014, 10:49:23 am by pvanja » Logged
duje
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« Reply #640 on: August 05, 2014, 10:53:57 am »

Proruski separatisti oborili još jedan ukrainski Su-25 (02.08.2014), avion je oboren u blizini gradova Yenakiyevo i Makiivka. Pilot se navodno katapultirao, no, nisu ga još pronašli. Ukrainske vlasti nisu potvrdile tu vijest.

Vir: "Obramba" SLO
http://www.obramba.com/

UKRAJINSKE LETALSKE SILE IZGUBILE ŽE PET JURIŠNIKOV SUHOJ SU-25

Proruski separatisti iz samooklicane Ljudske republike Donetsk (DNR) so v soboto, 2. avgusta 2014, sestrelili še eno ukrajinsko bojno letalo Suhoj Su-25, ki je strmoglavilo v bližini mest Yenakiyevo in Makiivka. Pilot Ukrajinskih letalskih sil naj bi se še pred strmoglavljenjem izstrelil iz letala, vendar ga zaenkrat še iščejo.

Sporočilo o sestrelitvi so poslali proruski uporniki, medtem ko ukrajinske oblasti v nedeljo niso hotele potrditi te informacije in dodale, da jo bodo, če bodo našli ostanke letala.

Sestreljeni ukrajinski jurišnik Su-25 je pred tem napadal položaje separatistov na obrobju Makiivka in južnih predelih Donetska, ena izmed bomb pa naj bi zadela tudi glavno elektrarno v okrožju Petrovsky.

Ukrajinski jurišnik Su-25 frogfoot, ki je strmoglavilo v soboto 2. avgusta v samooklicani DNR (Donétskaya naródnaya respúblika), je tako že peto sestreljeno letalo nad vzhodno Ukrajino. Prvo so sestrelili 2. julija nad mestom Dnipropetrovsk, drugo 16. julija, le dan pred sestrelitvijo malezijskega potniškega letala Boeing 777, zadnja dva pa 23. julija 2014 v bližini Marinovka in drugo blizu Dmytrivka, oba pilota pa sta se katapultirala.

Pripravil: A. Knific, foto: Military Photos



* ukrajinska-jurisna-letala-Su-25-frogfoot.jpg (249.85 KB, 900x608 - viewed 50 times.)

* ukrajinski-jurisnik-Su-25-642x336.jpg (47.13 KB, 642x336 - viewed 43 times.)
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pvanja
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« Reply #641 on: August 05, 2014, 04:24:36 pm »

UKR BTR i mina

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« Reply #642 on: August 05, 2014, 06:36:07 pm »

stresan događaj, ne cine mi se ustraseno

evo par napisa na temu da je Airbus srusen uz pomoc ukrajinskih Su-25

 Can the Su-25 intercept and shoot down a 777?
Posted in big machines, War nerding by Scott Locklin on July 21, 2014

Personal background: I’ve flown Malaysian Airlines and declare it better and more civilized than any US airline. I’ve been to Ukraine on a business-vacation. I’m sympathetic to the aspirations of the long suffering Ukrainian people. I’m also sympathetic to the position of the Russian government with respect to Ukraine, which is, after all, sort of like their version of Canada, if Canada had annexed part of New England in 1991. I am not sympathetic to the claque of sinister war mongers and imperial Gauleiters in the US State department with respect to their activities in Ukraine and towards Russia. If I had my way, creeps like Vicky “fuck the EU” Nuland and Geoff Pyatt would be facing prison and the firing squad for what they’ve done over there. In my opinion, US policy towards Russia since the fall of the Soviet Union has been knavish, evil and disgusting. My opinion isn’t a mere slavophilic eccentricity; George Kennan, our greatest Cold War diplomat, said more or less the same things before he died.

If this was a shoot down by Donetsk separatists, and even if the Russians supplied the missiles to the separatists (who could have captured them from Ukrainian forces, or simply borrowed a couple from the local arms factories), this doesn’t make the Russians culpable for the tragedy. By that logic, the US is responsible for all the bad things done with weapons it supplies to its proxies, such as ISIS in Syria and Iraq, which is arguably worse. Certainly the US is responsible for the escalation of the situation in Ukraine. I say all this, because passions are high, and the war drums are beating. I am not a  war monger, or apologist for anybody; in fact, I’m the closest thing you’re going to get to an unbiased observer in this disaster. I have no horse in this race. I wish they’d all learn to get along.

So, the Rooskies are now implying that a Ukrainian Su-25 may have shot down flight MH17. Facts and objective reality seem to be in short supply in Western coverage of the Ukraine crisis; I aim to supply some. I am going with the assumption that the Rooskies are telling the truth, and that there was indeed a Ukrainian Su-25 where they said there was. They said the Su-25 came within 2 to 3 miles of the 777.

hacking-boeing-777-showcase_image-8-p-1638

Everyone agrees that the Boeing 777-200ER was flying over the separatist region at 33,000 feet. A Boeing 777’s cruising speed is about 560mph or Mach 0.84. Its mass is about 500,000 pounds, and it has a wingspan and length of about 200 feet each. The MH17 was flying from West to East, more or less.

The Su-25 Frogfoot is a ground attack aircraft; a modern Sturmovik or, if you like, a Rooskie version of the A-10 Warthog. The wingspan and length of the Su-25 is about 50 feet each, and the mass is about 38,000lbs with a combat load. The ceiling of an unladen Su-25 is about 23,000 feet. With full combat load, an Su-25 can only make it to 16,000 feet. This low combat ceiling was actually a problem in the Soviet-Afghanistan war; the hot air and the tall mountains made it less useful than it could have been. At altitude, the maximum speed of the unladen Su-25 is Mach 0.82; probably considerably lower with combat loads. For air to air armament, it has a pair of 30mm cannons and carries the R-60 missile. The Su-25 is also capable of carrying the Kh-13, though it is not clear that the Ukrainians deploy this missile on their Su-25s. For the sake of argument, we’ll talk about it anyway.

su25_maxbryansky

Since it was a Ukrainian Su-25, we can also assume it was heading West to East; more or less the same trajectory as flight MH17. It could have been traveling in some other trajectory, but we can already see the problem with an Su-25 intercepting a 777; it’s too low, and too slow. If you want to believe  the crackpot idea that Ukrainian government were a bunch of sinister schemers who shot down MH17 on purpose, an Su-25 is pretty much the worst armed military aircraft you can imagine for such a task. The Ukrainian air force has a dozen Su-27s and two-dozen Mig-29s perfectly capable of intercepting and shooting down a 777. They also have the Buk missile, and are  capable of placing it somewhere near the Donetsk separatists if they wanted to make them look bad. So, the theory that the evil Ukrainians shot down a 777 with a Su-25 on purpose is … extremely unlikely.

Could an Su-25 have shot down a 777 by accident? Fog of war and all that? Perhaps they thought it was a Russian  plane? Well, let’s see how likely that is. The weapons of the Su-25 capable of doing this are the cannons, the R-60 missile (and its later evolutions, such as the R-73E) and the  K-13 missile.

Cannons: impossible. The Su-25 was at minimum 10,000 feet below the 777. This means simply pointing the cannon at the 777 without stalling would have been a challenge. The ballistic trajectory of the cannon fire would have made this worse. The Gsh-30-2 cannon fires a round which travels at only 2800 feet per second, significantly lower than, say, the round fired by a  338 Lapua sniper rifle. Imagine trying to shoot down an airplane with a rifle, from 2-3 miles away using your eyeball, in a plane, at a ballistic angle. If the MH17 was somehow taken out by cannon fire, it will have obvious 30mm holes in the fuselage. None have been spotted so far.

K-13 missile: extremely unlikely. The K-13 is a Soviet copy of the 50s era AIM-9 sidewinder; an infrared homing missile. Amusingly, the Soviets obtained the AIM-9 design during a skirmish between China and Taiwan in 1958; a dud got stuck in a Mig-17. It is not clear that the Ukrainian air force fields these weapons with their Su-25’s; they’re out of date, and mostly considered useless. Worse, the effective range of a K-13 is only about 1.2 miles, putting the 777 out of effective range. Sure, a K-13 miiiight have made it to a big lumbering 777 with its two big, hot turbofans, but it seems pretty unlikely; a lucky shot. The 16lb of the K-13 warhead is certainly capable of doing harm to a 777’s engines. Maybe it would have even taken out the whole airliner. Doubtful though.
The K-13 AA missile

The K-13 AA missile

R-60 missile: extremely unlikely. If a Su-25 was firing missiles at a 777, this is probably what it was using. The R-60 is also an IR guided missile, though some of the later models use radar proximity fuzing.  Unlike the K-13, this is a modern missile, and it is more likely to  have hit its target if fired. Why is it unlikely? Well, first off, it is unlikely the Ukrainian Su-25s were armed with them in the first place: these are ground attack planes, fighting in a region where the enemy has no aircraft. More importantly, the R-60 has a tiny little 6lb warhead, which is only really dangerous to fragile fighter aircraft. In 1988, an R-60 was fired at a BAe-125 in Botswana. The BAe-125 being a sort of Limey Lear jet, which weighs a mere 25,000lbs; this aircraft is 20 times smaller than a 777 by mass. The BAe-125 was inconvenienced by the R-60, which knocked one of its engines off, but it wasn’t shot down; it landed without further incident. A 777 is vastly larger and more sturdy than any Limey Lear jet. People may recall the KAL007 incident where an airliner was shot down by a Soviet interceptor. The Su-15 flagon interceptor which accomplished this used a brobdingnagian K-8 missile, with an 88lb warhead, which was designed to take out large aircraft. Not a shrimpy little R-60. The R-60 is such a pipsqueak of a missile, it is referred to as the “aphid.”
The R-60 aphid

The R-60 aphid

That’s it; those are the only tools available to the Su-25 for air to air combat. The other available  weapons are bombs and air to surface missiles, which are even more incapable of shooting down anything which is  10,000 feet above the Su-25.

My guess as to what happened … somebody … probably the Donetsk separatists (the least experienced, least well trained, and least well plugged into a military information network), fired a surface to air missile at something they thought was an enemy plane. It could have been the Buk SA-11/17 with its 150lb warhead and 75,000 foot range, just like everyone is reporting. Another candidate is the Kub SAM, which is an underrated SAM platform also in use in that part of the world. Yet another possibility is the S-125 Pechora, which isn’t deployed in Ukraine or Russia, but it is probably still manufactured in the Donbass region. A less likely candidate is the S-75 Dvina (the same thing that took out Gary Powers), though the primitive guidance system and probable lack of deployed installations in Ukraine and Russia make this unlikely. The fact that the MH17 disappeared from radar at 33,000 feet, and the condition of the wreckage indicates it was something really big that hit flight MH17; not a piddly little aphid missile. The pictures of the wreckage don’t indicate any sort of little missile strike which might have knocked off an engine; it looks like the whole plane was shredded. Both engines came down in the same area, more or less in one piece.

Whatever it was, it wasn’t an Su-25. There is also no use going all “Guns of August” on the Russians over something that was very likely beyond their control. Here’s hoping all parties concerned learn to resolve their differences in a civilized manner.
War is bad, m'kay?

War is bad, m’kay?

Interesting links from the rumor mill (as they come in):

http://theaviationist.com/2014/07/21/su-27s-escorted-mh17/

Update July 22:
Nobody else has yet noticed that Donetsk manufactures SAMs, or that there are several other potential sources and varieties of such weapons. The Russians are sticking with the Su-25 idea, and haven’t corroborated the Su-27 story, making it seem much less likely.

“Blame the Rooskie” war mongers would do well to remember the Vincennes incident, where the US shot down an Iranian air liner over Iranian airspace, killing a comparable number of innocent civilians.

Update July 23:
A run down of some of the capabilities of the Buk system from “The National Interest” (one of the few sane US foreign policy periodicals):

http://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/the-ultimate-guide-the-sa-11-gadfly-10928

http://scottlocklin.wordpress.com/2014/07/21/can-the-su-25-intercept-and-shoot-down-a-777/






UPDATED -- Conclusive: 2 Ukrainian Government Fighter-Jets Shot Down that Malaysian Airliner.
   

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From youtube.com/watch?v=9qjzWWddxTM: Ukraine plane crash
Ukraine plane crash
(image by YouTube)

We'll go considerably farther than has yet been revealed by the professional intelligence community, to provide the actual evidence that conclusively shows that (and how) the Ukrainian Government shot down the Malaysian airliner, MH-17, on July 17th.

The latest report from the intelligence community was headlined on August 3rd by Robert Parry, "Flight 17 Shoot-Down Scenario Shifts," and he revealed there that, "Contrary to the Obama administration's public claims blaming eastern Ukrainian rebels and Russia for the shoot-down of Malaysia Airlines Flight 17, some U.S. intelligence analysts have concluded that the rebels and Russia were likely not at fault and that it appears Ukrainian government forces were to blame, according to a source briefed on these findings. This judgment -- at odds with what President Barack Obama and Secretary of State John Kerry have expressed publicly -- is based largely on the absence of U.S. government evidence that Russia supplied the rebels with a Buk anti-aircraft missile system that would be needed to hit a civilian jetliner flying at 33,000 feet, said the source, who spoke on condition of anonymity."

It's actually based on lots more than that; it's based not on an absence of evidence, but on positive proof that the Ukrainian Government shot the plane down, and even proving how it was done. You will see this proof, right here, laid out in detail, for the first time.

The reader-comments to my July 31st article, "First Examination of Malaysian MH-17 Cockpit Photo Shows Ukraine Government Shot that Plane Down," provided links and leads to independent additional confirmatory evidence backing up that account, of retired Lufthansa pilot Peter Haisenko's reconstruction of this event, to such an extent that, after exploring the matter further, I now feel confident enough to say that the evidence on this matter is, indeed, "conclusive," that Haisenko is right. Here is all of that evidence, which collectively convinces me that Haisenko's conclusion there, is, indeed, the only one that can even possibly explain this wreckage:

"There have been two or three pieces of fuselage that have been really pockmarked with what almost looks like machine-gun fire, very very strong machine-gun fire." This remarkable statement comes not from Haisenko, but from one of the first OSCE investigators who arrived at the scene of the disaster. Go to and you will see it.

That youtube snippet in an interview with Michael Bociurkiw, comes from a man who is "a Ukrainian-Canadian monitor with the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), [who] has seen up close ... the crash site of Malaysia Airlines Flight MH17. Bociurkiw and one other colleague were the first international monitors to reach the wreckage after the jet was shot down over a rebel-held region of eastern Ukraine July 17." That description of him is from the lead-in to the full interview with him, at the 29 July 2014 CBC news article, "Malaysia Airlines MH17: Michael Bociurkiw talks about being first at the crash site." The far briefer youtube clip shows only what's presented on 6:10-6:24 of this CBC interview with Bociurkiw. The CBC reporter in the video precedes the interview by announcing, "The wreckage was still smoldering when a small team from the OSCE got there." So: he had to have been there really fast. "No other officials arrived for days," she said.

So: one of the two first international monitors on-site saw conclusive evidence that the Malaysian plane had been hit by "very very strong machine-gun fire," not by ground-based missile-fire. Peter Haisenko's reconstruction of the downing of that airliner, was here being essentially confirmed on-site by one of the two first OSCE international monitors to arrive on-site, while the wreckage was still smoldering. That's as close to virgin, untouched evidence and testimony as we'll ever get. Unlike a black-box interpretation-analysis long afterward by the Russian Government, or by the British Government, or by the Ukrainian Government, each of which governments has a horse in this race, this testimony from Bociurkiw is raw, independent, and comes from one of the two earliest witnesses to the physical evidence. That's powerfully authoritative testimony, and it happens to confirm pilot Peter Haisenko's theory of what happened. Bociurkiw arrived there fast because he negotiated with the locals for the rest of the OSCE team, who were organizing to come later: Bociurkiw speaks the local languages there -- Ukrainian and Russian.

Furthermore, this is hardly testimony from someone who is supportive of the anti-Government rebels. Earlier, there had been this, http://pressimus.com/Interpreter_Mag/press/3492, which transcribes the BBC's interview with Bociurkiw on July 22nd. He said then: "We're observing that major pieces, and I'm looking at the tail fin as I said, and then there's also the rear cone section of the aircraft, they do look different than when we first saw them, ... two days ago." So, he had arrived on-scene July 20th at the latest. (Neither the BBC nor the CBC, both of which interviewed him, were sufficiently professional to have reported the specific date at which Bociurkiw had actually arrived on-scene, but, from this, it couldn't have been after July 20th. The downing had occurred July 17th. If some of the debris was still "smoldering" as the CBC journalist said, then maybe he had arrived there even earlier.)

The youtube snippet of Bociurkiw came to me via a reader-comment to my article, from Bill Johnson, after which I web-searched the youtube clip for its source and arrived then at the 29 July 2014 CBC news article and its accompanying video.

Further, there's this crucial 21 July photo-reconstruction of that cockpit-fragment positioned into place on the aircraft as it had originally been in that intact-airliner: https://twitter.com/EzraBraam. (Sometimes that doesn't work, so here's another screen of it from someone who copied it.) Looking at that photo-reconstruction, one can easily tell that the SU-25 or other fighter-jet that was firing into the cockpit from the pilot's left side didn't just riddle the area surrounding the pilot with bullets, but that it then targeted-in specifically onto the pilot himself, producing at his location a huge gaping hole in the side of the plane precisely at the place where the pilot was seated. Furthermore, this gaping hole was produced by shooting into the plane, precisely at the pilot, from below and to the pilot's left, which is where that fighter-jet was located -- not from above the airliner, and not from beside it, and also not from below it.

In other words: this was precise and closely-targeted firing against the pilot himself, not a blast directed broadly against, and aiming to hit, the plane anywhere, to bring it down.

Haisenko explained how this penetration of the plane, though it was targeted specifically at the pilot, caused immediately a breaking-apart of the entire aircraft.

Other readers have responded to my news-report about Haisenko's article, by saying that shrapnel from a Buk missile could similarly have caused those holes into the side of the cockpit. However, that objection ignores another key feature of Haisenko's analysis. Haisenko said there: "You can see the entry and exit holes. The edge of a portion of the holes is bent inwards. These are the smaller holes, round and clean, showing the entry points most likeley that of a 30 millimeter caliber projectile. The edge of the other, the larger and slightly frayed exit holes showing shreds of metal pointing produced by the same caliber projectiles. Moreover, it is evident that ... these exit holes of the outer layer of the double aluminum reinforced structure are shredded or bent -- outwardly!"

What this means is that in order to have some of those holes frayed inwardly and the other holes frayed outwardly, there had to have been a second fighter-jet firing into the cockpit from the airliner's right-hand side. That's critically important, because no ground-based missile (or shrapnel therefrom) hitting the airliner could possibly have produced firing into the cockpit from both sides of the plane. It had to have been a hail of bullets from both sides, that brought the plane down, in that circumstance. This is Haisenko's main discovery, by his pointing that out. You can't have projectiles going in both directions -- into the left-hand-side fuselage panel from both its left and right sides -- unless they are coming at the panel from different directions. Nobody before Haisenko had noticed that the projectiles had ripped through that panel from both its left side and its right side. This is what rules out any ground-fired missile.

Peter Haisenko posted an extremely high-resolution image from that photo which he used, and it shows unequivocally that some of the bullet-holes were inbound while others of them were outbound: Here it is, viewed very close-up.
Although the fighter jets that were said to have been escorting the Malaysian plane into the war-zone were alleged to be SU-25 planes, a different type might have been used. SU-25s are designed to be flown up to 23,000 feet without an oxygen-mask, but can go much higher if the pilot does wear that mask, which was probably the case here. Of course, an airliner itself is fully pressurized. That pressurization inside the airliner is, moreover, a key part of Haisenko's reconstruction of this airliner's downing. Basically, Haisenko reconstructs the airliner's breaking apart as soon as that hail of bullets opened and released the plane's pressurization.

The specific photo of that cockpit-fragment, which Haisenko had downloaded immediately after the disaster, was removed from the Internet, but other photos of this fragment were posted elsewhere, such as at the British publication (which, like the rest of the Western "news" media is slanted pro-Obama, anti-Putin), on July 21st, headlining their anti-Putin missile-theory bias, "MH17 crash: FT photo shows signs of damage from missile strike." Their "reporters" opened with their blatant anti-Russian prejudice: "The first apparent hard evidence that Malaysia Airlines Flight MH17 was brought down by a surface-to-air missile is emerging from the crash site in eastern Ukraine, after experts confirmed on Monday there were signs of shrapnel damage to the aircraft." Although they didn't say in their opener that the "surface-to-air missile" was from the rebels, they made clear their pro-Ukrainian-Government anti-Russian bias by saying, "Over the weekend, western intelligence agencies pointed to mounting evidence that backs Ukraine's claim that the aircraft with 298 people on board was shot down by mistake by pro-Russian separatists and Russian military personnel with an SA-11 missile launched from a Buk-M1 SAM battery." Their stenographers (or as they would say "reporters") stenographed ("reported") that, "Douglas Barrie of the International Institute for Strategic Studies, said the photographic evidence 'was consistent with the kind of damage you would expect to see from the detonation of a high explosive fragmentation warhead of the type commonly used in a SAM system'." No analyst from the pro-Putin camp was interviewed by their "reporters." For example, Russia's Interfax News Service headlined on July 29th, the same day as the FT's article, "Boeing's downing by Buk missile system unlikely -- military expert," and they stenographed their "expert," as follows:

Chief of the Russian Land Forces' tactical air defense troops Maj. Gen. Mikhail Krush said he doubts that the Malaysian passenger liner was brought down by a Buk surface-to-air missile system. "No one observed a Buk engaging targets in that region on that day, which provides 95 percent proof that Buk systems were not used in this concrete case," the general said in an interview with the Voyenno-Promyshlenny Kuryer military weekly to be published on Wednesday [July 30th]. "This is no more than a theory for now. However, a guided missile launched by a Buk missile system leaves behind a specific smoke trail as it flies, like a comet. In daylight this trail can be clearly seen within a radius of 20-25 kilometers from the missile system. It cannot remain unnoticed. There are no eyewitnesses to confirm there was any. No one reported a launch. This is one thing," he said. "Second. The holes left by the strike elements on the Boeing's outer skin indicate that the warhead blew up from below and sideways. A Buk missile strikes the target from above," he said. "The damage done to the plane suggests that a different missile was used. Our guidance method is a zoom, when the missile strikes the target from above covering it with a thick cloud of fragments" the general said. "I cannot state categorically, guided by this data, but I can suggest, using my experience, that it was not a Buk missile that hit the Boeing," the expert said.

General Krush's statement can fit with Haisenko's and with Bociurkiw's, but not with FT's or the rest of the "reporters" (just consider them as rank propagandists) in the West.

U.S. President Barack Obama has been saying all along that Russia -- against which he is actually systematically building toward war -- and not Ukraine (which he's using as his chief vehicle to do that), is to blame for this airliner-downing. Previously, he had said that the snipers who in February had killed many people at the Maidan demonstrations against the pro-Russian Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych came from Yanukovych's State Security Service and not from the far-right political parties that were trying to bring Yanukovych down and that Obama's agent Victoria Nuland selected to run the new Ukrainian government. But that too was an Obama lie. He lies a lot, and it's just about the only type of statement he ever makes about Russia, and about Ukraine: lies.

If someone wants to verify how rabidly the U.S. Government lies, and has lied since at least the time of George W. Bush's Presidency, just look at this video, by starting at 16:00 on it and going to 42:00 on it, and you will be shocked. (It pertains to lies by Bush that are still being covered up by Obama.) And when you further consider the many obvious questions it points out, which U.S. "news" media refused to ask and still refuse to ask about the matter, you'll recognize that we are being lied to systematically and with utter contempt of the public, and with no respect for the public's right to know the truth, even regarding massive history like that. It's really brutal.

Ignorant "reporters" sometimes slip-up and include, in their stenography, facts that actually support the opposite side's narrative of events and that discredit their own story-line. Such has been the case, for example, in the Financial Times piece, which included the statement that, "Anti-aircraft missiles are not designed to score a direct hit as they are targeted to destroy fast, agile fighter jets. Instead, they are designed to explode within about 20m of their target, sending out a cloud of red hot metal to increase the chances of inflicting as much damage as possible."

But rather than merely "a cloud of red hot metal," what actually brought down this plane was what Haisenko has said brought it down: magazines-full of carefully targeted rapid-fire machine-gun bullets pouring forth from below the plane, at both its left and right.

This was a Ukrainian Government job. It was close-in. (No missile fired from the distance more than 30,000 feet down to the ground could have been that precise to target the pilot rather than the far larger target of the plane's entire body.) It came from the Government that Obama installed there in February and that's now carrying out an ethnic-cleansing campaign against the residents in Ukraine's southeast, the places where Yanukovych's voters live (to the extent that they still can and do live).

Compare that picture with the following one, which I take from a propaganda-site for the U.S. regime, and so which is intended instead to support the Administration's line on this, certainly not Haisenko's explanation of how the airliner was downed, though it actually supports Haisenko's case:


detail from metabunk site
(image by metabunk.org)

As you can see there, a plane that's hit by a ground-fired missile, instead of by bullets fired from an attack-plane only a few yards away, has the damage spread rather widely over its body, not concentrated into a tiny area, such as to where the plane's pilot is seated. Certainly, the contrast between that photo and this one is enormous.

Furthermore, note also that the shrapnel damage to that plane comes from above it, which is where missiles usually hit a plane from, releasing their shrapnel from above, down onto the plane. By contrast, the hail of bullets to the Malaysian plane's pilot came from below the plane, aiming upward at the cockpit, from both sides of the cockpit.

Furthermore, note also that all of the holes appear to be inbound into the plane, none outbound.

As regards whether there were actually two fighter jets firing into the Malaysian airliner or only one, a proponent of the single-jet hypothesis, Bill Johnson, posted as a reader-comment to my article on August 4th, a series of extreme close-ups of the side-panel, in which he inferred that the explanation of the apparent left-side (pilot-side) bullets was probably the shape of the bullets. I then asked him why he declined to accept the possible existence of two jets. He said, "from what I could find Russian military radar detected only one Ukrainian fighter jet, not two. I have looked and looked for any type of radar confirmation of a second fighter jet and can not find it." However, the most virginal, very earliest, online evidence concerning the matter was on July 17th, within moments of the downing, headlining in the subsequent English translation, "Spanish Air Controller @ Kiev Borispol Airport: Ukraine Military Shot Down Boeing #MH17," and it included, "@spainbuca's TWITTER FEED," which included his observation, only minutes after the downing, "2 jet fighters flew very close" to the plane. Furthermore, immediately before that, he had tweeted, "The B777 plane flew escorted by Ukraine jet fighter until 2 minutes before disappearing from the radar." So, perhaps the second jet appeared distinct to him only immediately prior to the downing. An extensive file of tweets from @spainbuca was posted below the headline story and it included also the note: "LAST MINUTE Air Traffic Controller: The Boeing 777 'flew fighters escorted by two Ukrainians' before disappearing." (The original Spanish there was: "'voló escoltado por 2 cazas ucranianos' antes de desaparecer.")

Additionally, a news story from the Spanish language edition of Russian Television on 8 May 2014, soon after the Odessa massacre, had been headlined in google trans English as "Death threats to a Spanish review in Ukraine crisis" and it said: "Spanish air traffic controller who was threatened by supporters of the Maidan, Carlos, who spoke with RT on the condition of anonymity, has received threats despite not defending any interest. 'I have my opinion and my view of a normal person, with a separate work [unrelated] or media, or any political party, nor to any association.'" These "supporters of Maidan ... threatened to kill him, to send him to 'do not know what battalion' and out of the country." Then on July 17th there was, yet again in google trans from Spanish, "Block a Twitter account accusing Kiev of the demolition of the MH17," which reported that a controller at "Ukraine's largest airport said the plane from Malaysia, which crashed in the east with 298 people on board, was escorted by two Ukrainian fighters until minutes before disappearing from radar."
Another news-report, also on July 17th, came from Global Travel Industry News datelined 17 July and it headlined "Ukraine air traffic controller suggests Kiev military shot down passenger plane." It said: "This Kiev air traffic controller is a citizen of Spain and was working in the Ukraine. He was taken off duty as a civil air-traffic controller along with other foreigners immediately after a Malaysia Airlines passenger aircraft was shot down over the Eastern Ukraine killing 295 passengers and crew on board. The air traffic controller suggested in a private evaluation and basing it on military sources in Kiev, that the Ukrainian military was behind this shoot down. Radar records were immediately confiscated after it became clear a passenger jet was shot down." If this is true, then the radar-records upon the basis of which those tweets had been sent out were "confiscated." That news-story from Global Travel Industry News closed by saying that the report was "based on" "tweets received" and "the statements of one airline controller."

That person, who called himself anonymously by the name "Carlos," had produced a file characteristic of someone hostile toward, and personally afraid of, the new Kiev government, and nothing further was heard from him, if he even survived. The Ukrainian Government said that he never existed, though the 8 May 2014 news report of his frictions with the Kiev authorities could hardly have been concocted after July 17th simply out of nowhere; it had pre-existed the airliner-downing, and it fit with his tweets on July 17th.

The best evidence is consistent with the view that those bullet-holes came from two directions not from one. What is virtually certain, however, is that at least one jet fighter was close up and shot down the Malaysian plane targeting the pilot at close range. There is no way that a 33,000-foot-away ground-fired missile could have produced that cockpit side-panel.

And the European Union has been playing along with this hoax. (If you still have any further doubts that it's a hoax, just click onto that link and look.) And the mass of suckers in the West believe that hoax: it's succeeding to stir a fever for war, instead of a fever to get rid of our own leaders who are lying us into a war that will benefit only the West's aristocrats, while it inflicts massive physical and economic harms against everyone else -- as if it were the invasion of Iraq except multiplied in this case a thousand-fold, especially with nuclear weapons possibly at the end of it.

If we had a free press, the news media would be ceaselessly asking President Obama why he doesn't demand accountability against the Ukrainian Government for their massacre perpetrated on May 2nd inside the Trade Unions Building in Odessa, where that newly Obama-installed regime's peaceful opponents were systematically trapped and then burned alive, which the Obama-installed Ukrainian Government has refused to investigate (much less to prosecute). Basically: Obama had sponsored the massacre. So, our "news" media ignore it, even though it started this civil war on Russia's doorstep, and thereby re-started the Cold War, as Obama had intended that massacre (his massacre, and his subsequent ethnic cleansing) to do. (Similarly, the "news" media, though all of them receive my articles by email, virtually all refuse to publish them, because I won't let them control what I find and report.)

And while Obama leads this Republican policy, and Vice President Dick Cheney's top foreign-policy advisor Victoria Nuland actually runs it for Obama, congressional Democrats are just silent about it, and do not introduce impeachment of this fake "Democratic" hyper-George W. Bush neo-conservative President, who's a "Democrat" in rhetoric only -- and though Obama's policy in this key matter threatens the entire world.

A reader-comment to an earlier version of this news report and analysis objected to my identifying Obama as a Republican-in-"Democratic"-sheep's clothing, and said: "They may be rethug policies in origin but they are decidedly BI-PARTISAN to anyone who wants to admit FACTS. The democratic party you all think still exists is DEAD and only exists in your brain (the part that doesn't accept reality)." However, U.S. Senate bill 2277, which invites Obama to provide direct U.S. military support to the Obama-installed Ukrainian regime, has 26 sponsors, and all of them are Republican U.S. Senators. Democratic Senators, by contrast, are just silent on Obama's turn toward nazism (or racist -- in this case anti-ethnic-Russian racist -- fascism); the Senate's Democrats aren't seeking for it to be stepped up. This is a Republican policy, which congressional Democrats are simply afraid to oppose. Any realistic person knows that however far right Obama turns, the overt Republican Party will turn even farther to the right, because they have to be to his right in order for them to be able to win Republican primaries and retain their own Party's nomination. Just because Obama's game of moving the American political center as far to the right as he can move it is succeeding, doesn't mean that the Democratic Party itself should end. It instead means that progressives need to take the Democratic Party over, just like conservatives took the Republican Party over with Reagan. There is no other hope. If a Democrat in the U.S. House will simply introduce an impeachment resolution against Barack Obama, then the right-wing takeover of the Democratic Party might finally end, and the world might yet be saved, because the Democratic Party itself could then reject Obama as being a fake "Democrat," a Democrat-in-rhetoric-only. It could transform American politics -- and American politics needs such a transformation, which would move the Democratic Party back to progressivism, more like the FDR Democratic Party was, so that Republican politicians would no longer need to be so fascist as they now have become (and as they now need to be in order to be able to win their own Party's nomination). If Democrats fail to renounce the conservatism of Obama and of the Clintons, then the Party will end, and needs to be replaced, just like the Republican Party replaced the Whig Party immediately before the Civil War. Nazism has become today's slavery-type issue -- it's beyond the pale, and Obama's installation and endorsement of it in Ukraine is like James Buchanan's endorsement of slavery was during the 1850s: either the Democratic Party will become the progressive party, or else the Democratic Party is over.

But that's just my own theory of how Obama's frauds might yet be able to be overcome and defeated, if they still can be; it's not part of my presentation of the explanation of what brought down the Malaysian airliner, which has been an open case since July 17th, and which is now a closed case. This is past history, not future.

The present news story is being circulated free of charge or copyright to all "news" media in the English-speaking world, in the perhaps vain hope that the cover-ups of our leaders' constant lies will cease soon enough to avoid a World War III, even though communism is long since gone from Russia and so the ideological excuse wouldn't make any sense here. This insanity is actually all about aristocratic conquest, like World War I was. It's not for the benefit of the public anywhere. Silence about it (by "Democrats," and the "news" media) is a scandal, which needs to stop. The real Democratic Party (the Party of FDR, who loathed and despised nazis -- and even mere fascists -- yet today Obama installs nazis into power in Ukraine) must be restored, and a real news media needs to become established in America. Even Republicans need it, because the very idea of "victory" in a nuclear war is a vicious fantasy. It is a dangerous lie, though there are some people who find it a very profitable one. And time might be short -- let's hope not already too short.

After all, Obama's hoax of having won from Europe the stepped-up economic sanctions against Russia after the government that Obama had installed in Ukraine downed the Malaysian plane and successfully blamed it on "Russian aggression," is very encouraging to him. And European leaders know that Obama's entire operation is a very bloody fraud (read the phone-transcript there -- it's a stunner). So, they certainly won't save the world from it. It's up to us.

----------

Investigative historian Eric Zuesse is the author, most recently, of They're Not Even Close: The Democratic vs. Republican Economic Records, 1910-2010, and of CHRIST'S VENTRILOQUISTS: The Event that Created Christianity.

(Article changed on August 5, 2014 at 09:02)

http://www.opednews.com/articles/3/Evidence-2-Ukrainian-Gove-by-Eric-Zuesse-Activism-Anti-War_Impeachment_Obama-Administration_President-Barack-Obama-POTUS-140803-579.html


prvi naslov je na temu da ukrajinski avion nije moga srusiti Airbus jer ima manji plafon leta od leta Airbusa te da ima oruzje s kojim je to nemoguce dok drugi natpis zagovara mogucnost rusenja Airbusa sa Su 25 uz naknadne postupke








« Last Edit: August 05, 2014, 06:37:12 pm by Nenad, Reason: Spojena dva uzastupna posta » Logged
kumbor
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« Reply #643 on: August 05, 2014, 07:02:36 pm »


Управо је у току главни вечерњи дневник 1. канала руске телевизије.

Малопре су показали групу шпанских добровољаца на страни Народне војске. Батаљон "Восток" све више личи на Интербригаду. Има их са разних страна.  А дошли су на Исток углавном као кавкаска јединица  (ми би рекли -"черкези").

Директор UNHCR за Европу је данас у Женеви саопштио да је од Нове године до почетка августа из Украјине у Русију прешло око 730.000 људи који се могу рачунати као избеглице.

Новинар 1. канала се шета по Јасиноватој - градићу у близини Доњецка који су јуче "ослободиле" кијевске снаге.  Руски државни новинар је у шетњи тражио украјинске војнике, тражио их је, тражио, али их није нашао, па се намеће логичан логички закључак да Јасиноватаја није "ослобођена" од Народне војске. Зато је "Азов", батаљон паравојске тајкуна "Бење" Коломојског упао у Марјинку, насеље у предграђу Доњецка. Одмах су се забавили паљевином. Ово слободно пишем јер то је паравојска тајкуна, а не регуларне снаге. А и како могу да пале на ову врућину, тамо ових дана не пада испод 30*!?

Министарство одбране Украјине наручило је више хиљада ватираних јакни за војску. Ватиране јакне су типичан део совјетске зимске униформе још од 1941. Толико о плановима украјинске војске да заврши АТО до септембра. А говори и о квалитету опреме украјинског војника. Ватник, ружна, гломазна јакна која ограничава покрете, ... али добро греје, нарочито ако се комбинује са горилком (украјинском житном вотком). Неко изгледа планира да зимује у рововима. .
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« Reply #644 on: August 05, 2014, 07:19:15 pm »

To samo za nepokretnu strazu, uz valjenke (pustene cizme kao kod ovih na slici).
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